it seems like skilled parents have them more often simple because they have more random chances to get it

"experienced" lottery players will seem like they win mre than a first time player because over time their tries get averaged out

a first time player is 100 or 0, nothing to average

in reality, the person who plays 100 scratch off tickets a week has the same chance of winning, per ticket, as the person who plays 1 ticket per week

does that make sense?
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Why is it that if someone tells you that there are 1 billion stars in the universe you will believe them,
but if they tell you a wall has wet paint you will have to touch it to be sure?